Adaptation Seems To Be, To A Substantial

Optimistic People Play A Disproportionate Role In Shaping Our Lives. Their Decisions Make A Difference; They Are Inventors, Entrepreneurs, Political And Military Leaders - Not Average People. They Got To Where They Are By Seeking Challenges And Taking Risks.

We Have A Very Narrow View Of What Is Going On.

You Should Not Take Your Intuitions At Face Value.

When Action Is Needed, Optimism, Even Of The Mildly Delusional Variety, May Be A Good Thing.

There Are Domains In Which Expertise Is Not Possible. Stock Picking Is A Good Example. And In Long-term Political Strategic Forecasting, It's Been Shown That Experts Are Just Not Better Than A Dice-throwing Monkey.