True Intuitive Expertise Is Learned From Prolonged

Acquisition Of Skills Requires A Regular Environment, An Adequate Opportunity To Practice, And Rapid And Unequivocal Feedback About The Correctness Of Thoughts And Actions.

We Have A Very Narrow View Of What Is Going On.

One Emphasis Of My Research Has Been On The Question Of How People Spend Their Time. Time Is The Ultimate Finite Resource, Or Course, So The Question Of How People Spend It Would Seem To Be Important.

Courage Is Willingness To Take The Risk Once You Know The Odds. Optimistic Overconfidence Means You Are Taking The Risk Because You Don't Know The Odds. It's A Big Difference.

Doubts Are Suppressed By Groups... But Remember That The Internal Incentives That Shape How The Group Perceives Risks And Rewards May Be Very Different From The Reality Of The Risks And Rewards In The External Marketplace. Those Incentives Can Distort Risk Perception.