There Are Some Conditions Where You Have

A Person Who Has Not Made Peace With His Losses Is Likely To Accept Gambles That Would Be Unacceptable To Him Otherwise.

We Have A Very Narrow View Of What Is Going On.

We're Generally Overconfident In Our Opinions And Our Impressions And Judgments.

All Of Us Roughly Know What Memory Is. I Mean, Memory Is Sort Of The Storage Of The Past. It's The Storage Of Our Personal Experiences. It's A Very Big Deal.

Most Successful Pundits Are Selected For Being Opinionated, Because It's Interesting, And The Penalties For Incorrect Predictions Are Negligible. You Can Make Predictions, And A Year Later People Won't Remember Them.