Success Makes You Less Intimidated By Things.

We Look At All The Polls, Not Just The Gallup Poll. So, It's Kind Of Like If You Have, You Know, Four Out Of Five Doctors Agree That Reducing Cholesterol Reduces Your Risk Of A Heart Attack, Gallup Is Like The Fifth Doctor.

Midterm Elections Can Be Dreadfully Boring, Unfortunately.

Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires Both Scientific Knowledge And Self-knowledge: The Serenity To Accept The Things We Cannot Predict, The Courage To Predict The Things We Can, And The Wisdom To Know The Difference.

I'm Not Trying To Do Anything Too Tricky.

Not Only Does Political Coverage Often Lose The Signal—it Frequently Accentuates The Noise.