One Of The Major Biases In Risky

People Assign Much Higher Probability To The Truth Of Their Opinions Than Is Warranted.

Overconfidence Is A Powerful Source Of Illusions, Primarily Determined By The Quality And Coherence Of The Story That You Can Construct, Not By Its Validity.

Our Comforting Conviction That The World Makes Sense Rests On A Secure Foundation: Our Almost Unlimited Ability To Ignore Our Ignorance.

We Associate Leadership With Decisiveness. That Perception Of Leadership Pushes People To Make Decisions Fairly Quickly, Lest They Be Seen As Dithering And Indecisive.

It's Not A Case Of: 'read This Book And Then You'll Think Differently. I've Written This Book, And I Don't Think Differently.