Midterm Elections Can Be Dreadfully Boring, Unfortunately.

The Public Is Even More Pessimistic About The Economy Than Even The Most Bearish Economists Are.

One Of The Pervasive Risks That We Face In The Information Age, As I Wrote In The Introduction, Is That Even If The Amount Of Knowledge In The World Is Increasing, The Gap Between What We Know And What We Think We Know May Be Widening.

Almost Everyone's Instinct Is To Be Overconfident And Read Way Too Much Into A Hot Or Cold Streak.

There's Always The Risk That There Are Unknown Unknowns.

If You Have Reason To Think That Yesterday's Forecast Went Wrong, There Is No Glory In Sticking To It.