You Should Not Take Your Intuitions At

It's Very Easy For Trusted Companies To Mislead Naive Customers, And Life Insurance Companies Are Trusted.

Mood Evidently Affects The Operation Of System 1: When We Are Uncomfortable And Unhappy, We Lose Touch With Our Intuition. These Findings Add To The Growing Evidence That Good Mood, Intuition, Creativity, Gullibility, And Increased Reliance On System 1 Form A Cluster. At The Other Pole, Sadness, Vigilance, Suspicion, An Analytic Approach, And Increased Effort Also Go Together. A Happy Mood Loosens The Control Of System 2 Over Performance: When In A Good Mood, People Become More Intuitive And More Creative But Also Less Vigilant And More Prone To Logical Errors.

Most Successful Pundits Are Selected For Being Opinionated, Because It's Interesting, And The Penalties For Incorrect Predictions Are Negligible. You Can Make Predictions, And A Year Later People Won't Remember Them.

True Intuitive Expertise Is Learned From Prolonged Experience With Good Feedback On Mistakes.

... Sometimes When You Are Asked A Question That Is Difficult, The Mind Doesn't Stay Silent If It Doesn't Have The Answer. The Mind Produces Something, And What It Produces Very Characteristically Is The Answer To An Easier But Related Question.