Our Memory Tells Us Stories, That Is,

Overconfidence Is A Powerful Source Of Illusions, Primarily Determined By The Quality And Coherence Of The Story That You Can Construct, Not By Its Validity.

It's Not A Case Of: 'read This Book And Then You'll Think Differently. I've Written This Book, And I Don't Think Differently.

After A Crisis We Tell Ourselves We Understand Why It Happened And Maintain The Illusion That The World Is Understandable. In Fact, We Should Accept The World Is Incomprehensible Much Of The Time.

The Illusion That We Understand The Past Fosters Overconfidence In Our Ability To Predict The Future.

Facts That Challenge Basic Assumptions-and Thereby Threaten People's Livelihood And Self-esteem-are Simply Not Absorbed. The Mind Does Not Digest Them.