If I Had A Spreadsheet On My

The Thing That People Associate With Expertise, Authoritativeness, Kind Of With A Capital 'a,' Don't Correlate Very Well With Who's Actually Good At Making Predictions.

I Think People Feel Like There Are All These Things In Our Lives That We Don't Really Have Control Over.

Basically, Books Were A Luxury Item Before The Printing Press.

A Lot Of The Time Nothing Happens In A Day.

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.