I Don't Try To Be Clever At

Hindsight Bias Makes Surprises Vanish.

In Essence, The Optimistic Style Involves Taking Credit For Successes But Little Blame For Failures.

In Strategic Decisions, I'd Be Really Concerned About Overconfidence.

This Is The Essence Of Intuitive Heuristics: When Faced With A Difficult Question, We Often Answer An Easier One Instead, Usually Without Noticing The Substitution.

I Used To Hold A Unitary View, In Which I Proposed That Only Experienced Happiness Matters, And That Life Satisfaction Is A Fallible Estimate Of True Happiness.