Accountability Doesn't Mean Apologizing.

You Don't Want To Influence The Same System You Are Trying To Forecast.

If You Have Reason To Think That Yesterday's Forecast Went Wrong, There Is No Glory In Sticking To It.

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.

You Get Steely Nerves Playing Poker.

A Lot Of Things Can't Be Modeled Very Well.