A Large Portion Of The Weekend Effects

Acquisition Of Skills Requires A Regular Environment, An Adequate Opportunity To Practice, And Rapid And Unequivocal Feedback About The Correctness Of Thoughts And Actions.

The Confidence People Have In Their Beliefs Is Not A Measure Of The Quality Of Evidence But Of The Coherence Of The Story The Mind Has Managed To Construct.

One Thing We Have Lost, That We Had In The Past, Is A Sense Of Progress, That Things Are Getting Better. There Is A Sense Of Volatility, But Not Of Progress.

By Their Very Nature, Heuristic Shortcuts Will Produce Biases, And That Is True For Both Humans And Artificial Intelligence, But The Heuristics Of Ai Are Not Necessarily The Human Ones.

Except For Some Effects That I Attribute Mostly To Age, My Intuitive Thinking Is Just As Prone To Overconfidence, Extreme Predictions, And The Planning Fallacy As It Was Before I Made A Study Of These Issues.