When Theres Ever A Breakthrough, A True

Space Travel Is The Only Technology That Is More Dangerous And More Expensive Now Than It Was In Its First Year. Fifty Years After Yuri Gagarin, The Space Shuttle Ended Up Being More Dangerous And More Expensive To Fly Than Those First Throwaway Rockets, Even Though Large Portions Of It Were Reusable. It's Absurd.

To Allow Public Access To Orbit, We Would Need Breakthroughs That Would Lower The Cost By A Lot More Than An Order Of Magnitude And Increase Safety By A Factor Of 100 As Compared To Every Launch System Used Since The First Manned Space Flight. I Think Airborne Launch Will Be A Significant Part Of The Safety Solution.

Testing Leads To Failure, And Failure Leads To Understanding

Within 25 Years, Virtual Reality Meetings Will Be Essentially Transparent To Being There In Person. Once We Can Do This, The Idea Of Climbing Into An Aircraft, And Burning Up Huge Quantities Of Fossil Fuels To Propel Our Bodies And Briefcases Full Of Papers, Will Seem Absolutely Backward.

In The Coming Era Of Manned Space Exploration By The Private Sector, Market Forces Will Spur Development And Yield New, Low-cost Space Technologies. If The History Of Private Aviation Is Any Guide, Private Development Efforts Will Be Safer, Too.