The 2016 Presidential Election Is Ripe For

Somebody Must Be Up And Somebody Must Be Down. Trouble Is, Campaigns Are Messy, Subtle Creatures That Don't Follow Convenient Narratives.

Obama Is Capable - As Evidenced By His First-term Success With Health Care Reform. But Mandate-building Requires Humility, A Trait Not Easily Associated With Him.

President George W. Bush Won Reelection In 2004 Largely Because He Was Seen As Comfortable In His Own Skin, While Rival John Kerry Was Viewed As A Flip-flopping Opportunist.

Anything Can Go Wrong In A Debate, And Obama Is Not A Perfect Debater.

This Is Romney's Biggest Political Weakness. His Policy Flip-flops And The General Sense That He's Not Comfortable In His Own Skin Leads Voters, Including Many Supporters, Wondering About His Core Values.