Race Is Still The No. 1 Determinant

The Problem Is That When Polls Are Wrong, They Tend To Be Wrong In The Same Direction. If They Miss In New Hampshire, For Instance, They All Miss On The Same Mistake.

I View My Role Now As Providing More Of A Macro-level Skepticism, Rather Than Saying This Poll Is Good Or This Poll Is Evil.

When Human Judgment And Big Data Intersect There Are Some Funny Things That Happen

People Have Different Ways Of Interpreting History.

On Average, People Should Be More Skeptical When They See Numbers. They Should Be More Willing To Play Around With The Data Themselves.