Overconfidence Is A Powerful Source Of Illusions,

Endlessly Amused By People's Minds.

Our Memory Tells Us Stories, That Is, What We Get To Keep From Our Experiences Is A Story.

People Like Leaders Who Look Like They Are Dominant, Optimistic, Friendly To Their Friends, And Quick On The Trigger When It Comes To Enemies. They Like Boldness And Despise The Appearance Of Timidity And Protracted Doubt.

If People Can Construct A Simple And Coherent Story, They Will Feel Confident Regardless Of How Well Grounded It Is In Reality.

The Confidence People Have In Their Beliefs Is Not A Measure Of The Quality Of Evidence But Of The Coherence Of The Story The Mind Has Managed To Construct.