It Is More Agreeable To Have The

It Is Not Given To Princes, Statesmen And Captains To Pierce The Mysteries Of The Future, And Even The Most Penetrating Gaze Reaches Only Conclusions Which, However Seemingly Vindicated At A Given Moment, Are Inexorably Effaced By Time.

Saving Is A Fine Thing. Especially When Your Parents Have Done It For You.

There Are Two Processes Which We Adopt Consciously Or Unconsciously When We Try To Prophesy. We Can Seek A Period In The Past Whose Conditions Resemble As Closely As Possible Those Of Our Day, And Presume That The Sequel To That Period Will, Save For Some Minor Alterations, Be Similar. Secondly, We Can Survey The General Course Of Development In Our Immediate Past, And Endeavor To Prolong It Into The Near Future. The First Is The Method The Historian; The Second That Of The Scientist. Only The Second Is Open To Us Now, And This Only In A Partial Sphere.

All This Contains Much That Is Obviously True, And Much That Is Relevant; Unfortunately, What Is Obviously True Is Not Relevant, And What Is Relevant Is Not Obviously True.

It Is Very Easy To Say That Your Opponents Have Been Guilty Of A Breach Of Faith, But It Is A Great Mistake To Splash The Paint About So Freely That Your Words Cease To Have Any Real Meaning And Cease To Carry Any Sense Of Affront Even To Those To Whom They Are Applied And Cease To Bear Any Connection With Any Genuine Feeling Of Indignation On The Part Of Those On Whose Behalf They Are Spoken.