I Have To Think About How To

To The Extent That You Can Find Ways Where You're Making Predictions, There's No Substitute For Testing Yourself On Real-world Situations That You Don't Know The Answer To In Advance.

I Don't Play Fantasy Baseball Anymore Now Because It's Too Much Work, And I Feel Like I Have To Hold Myself Up To Such A High Standard. I'm Pretty Serious About My Fantasy Football, Though.

I Don't Think That Somebody Who Is Observing Or Predicting Behavior Should Also Be Participating In The 'experiment.'

On Average, People Should Be More Skeptical When They See Numbers. They Should Be More Willing To Play Around With The Data Themselves.

Almost Everyone's Instinct Is To Be Overconfident And Read Way Too Much Into A Hot Or Cold Streak.