Hindsight Bias Makes Surprises Vanish.

Nobody Would Say, 'i'm Voting For This Guy Because He's Got The Stronger Chin,' But That, In Fact, Is Partly What Happens.

The 'instagram Generation' Now Experiences The Present As An Anticipated Memory

Hindsight Bias Makes Surprises Vanish.

We Are Very Influenced By Completely Automatic Things That We Have No Control Over, And We Don't Know We're Doing It.

Doubts Are Suppressed By Groups... But Remember That The Internal Incentives That Shape How The Group Perceives Risks And Rewards May Be Very Different From The Reality Of The Risks And Rewards In The External Marketplace. Those Incentives Can Distort Risk Perception.