Caesar Recognized The Omens, But He Didn't

People Still Don't Appreciate How Ephemeral Success Is.

People Gravitate Toward Information That Implies A Happier Outlook For Them.

It's A Little Strange To Become A Kind Of Symbol Of A Whole Type Of Analysis.

You Don't Want To Treat Any One Person As Oracular.

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.