Any Believable Prediction Will Be Wrong. Any

This Is Actually A Very Important Principle That Science Is Learning About Large Systems Like Evolution And That Futurists Are Learning About Anticipating Human Society: Just Because A Future Scenario Is Plausible Doesn't Mean We Can Get There From Here.

What Technology Is Really About Is Better Ways To Evolve. That Is What We Call An 'infinite Game.' ... A Finite Game Is Played To Win, And An Infinite Game Is Played To Keep Playing.

Managers Tend To Treat Organizations As If They Are Infinitely Plastic. They Hire And Fire, Merge, Downsize, Terminate Programs, Add Capacities. But There Are Limits To The Shifts That Organizations Can Absorb.

Preserve The Core, And Let The Rest Flux. In Their Wonderful Bestseller Built To Last, Authors James Collins And Jerry Porras Make A Convincing Argument That Long-lived Companies Are Able To Thrive 50 Years Or More By Retaining A Very Small Heart Of Unchanging Values, And Then Stimulating Progress In Everything Else. At Times "everything" Includes Changing The Business The Company Operates In, Migrating, Say, From Mining To Insurance. Outside The Core Of Values, Nothing Should Be Exempt From Flux. Nothing.

Everything That We Are Making, We Are Making More And More Complex.